B1G Leaders Predictions and Situations

August 1, 2011

College Football is now just 31 days away.  Woo!!  That said, I’ll be posting my breakdowns of the BCS conferences over the next couple of weeks.  And as always, for all my picks for the upcoming season, visit www.CopeMoney.com

 

B1G Leaders Division

1. Wisconsin 10-2 (6-2)
2. Ohio State 9-3 (6-2)
3. Penn State 8-4 (5-3)
4. Illinois 8-4 (4-4)
5. Purdue 7-5 (4-4)
6. Indiana 4-8 (1-7)

Wisconsin- With Russell Wilson think this is the team to beat in the B1G- he brings a running dynamic that you typically don’t have to worry about with other Wisky teams. Wisconsin, of course, will have solid RBs and OL play. Defense should be pretty good as well.

Play Against: vs. Purdue- I know this is a home game for the Badgers, but coming off b2b weeks @MSU and @OSU, not sure how much is left in the tank. Purdue should be catching double digits here.

 

Ohio State- Even without Pryor and the other tat 4, this team is still very talented, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Schedule isn’t THAT hard.. @Miami & MSU before the other suspended players get back- @Neb when they do. Should be decent, but hard to predict the mindset of this team.

Play Against: Couple to choose from, but I’ll go @ Nebraska- have to figure the Huskers will be fired up to play their first b10 home game and that might be on the heels of the whole nation seeing Wisconsin dominate Nebraska- so public stock in Husker nation might be low.

 

Penn State- This team needs to get its QB situation figured out, and then deal with a rebuilding OL and DL. Final 5 games are brutal: @Northwestern, Illinois, Neb, @OSU, @Wisconsin. PSU also plays Alabama, so if these issues aren’t figured out, PSU might be in some trouble.

Play Against: @Northwestern- Wildcats blew 21-0 lead in Happy Valley LY and I’m sure they want payback. Illini also on deck for PSU who embarrassed the Nittany Lions 33-13 in their own backyard.

 

Illinois-Illini have the ability to be sneaky good this yr. Love the QB- but need to find a workhorse RB and the ability to threaten* to throw the ball (111th in Pass LY). Defense should be decent, but also benefited from a +8 in TO margin. Schedule not hard either. Tricky October might be the difference (OSU, @Purdue, @PSU).

Play Against: @Purdue or @PSU- think the home game vs. OSU will be very telling as Illinois could be 7-0 if they take down the Buckeyes. Have to think facing those 2 teams back to back, on the road, both with revenge will be too much for Illini & Zook to handle.

 

Purdue- My sleeper from the B10. Team was decimated with injuries LY. Marve & Henry good 1/2 QB combo to keep D’s honest & RB Bolden comes back from ACL injury along with basically the entire OL. D will miss Kerrigan, but 9 starters are back including entire secondary, though they will have to improve on that 85th ranked pass D.

Play Against: Going to switch it up and say Play On Purdue vs. ND- Irish coming off monster 3 game stretch, @UM (at night), MSU (rival), Pitt (always play tough), along with Air Force on deck for the Irish, think if Boilers catching 6 or so, will be worth a play.

 

Indiana- The bottom of the B10 this year- breaking in new QB, only 9 total starters returning, nothing really to get excited about.

Play Against: vs. Virginia- Tricky early game for the Hoosiers- Cavs return 15 starters, including most at the skill position and 4 OL. I really like the direction Mike London has this team going and it would not surprise me to see the Cavs get the outright win here.


Some College Football Regular Season Win Totals

July 26, 2011

College Football is right around the corner.  As I type this, actually, we’re just a mere 36 days and some change away until kick-off.

The Hilton in Vegas just released some College Football Regular Season Win totals. The entire list can be found here.  Below are a couple Overs I find appealing and some Unders that will put coin, or potentially multiple coins, in your pocket.

Agree?  Disagree?  Feel free to let me know your opinion…

Overs I like

Tennessee Over 6.5
There are some issues along the defensive front 7 (only return one starter), but I like the direction Dooley is taking the Vols.  Schedule is pretty manageable too. Wins vs. Montana, Cincinnati, Buffalo, Middle Tennessee and Vandy seem certain. @Kentucky also looks good. Meaning for this bet to hit, Tennessee only has to take down 1 of the following: @Florida, Georgia, LSU, South Carolina or @Arkansas.  Seem very doable. I expect QB Tyler Bray to have a big year and lead the Volunteers to 7 or even 8 wins. Take Tennessee OVER 6.5.

Michigan State Over 7.5
Even though a repeat of the 11-2 dream season isn’t likely, MSU returns a 3rd year starter at QB, all three RBs who contributed in 2010, plus a good amount of talented WRs. The defense should be strong on the DL and in the secondary as well.  The overall schedule is not too easy, but there are enough winnable games where MSU should get to 9 wins or so.  The difficult games I see- @ND, @OSU, UM, Wisconsin, @Nebraska, @Iowa and @Northwestern.  From that list, I see, at worst 3-4 and at best 5-2.  Even at the worse case scenerio, those 3 wins + wins over Youngstown State, FAU, CMU, Minny and Indiana will get them to 8 wins and the cover.  Take the Spartans OVER 7.5.

Unders I like

Oklahoma State Under 8.5
It was a dream season for the Pokies last year.  Gone is offensive guru Dana Holgorsen, but back is QB Brandon Weeden and WR Justin Blackmon, so all should be well, right?  WRONG!  Okie State had a very easy and manageable schedule last year, including only facing one team on the road that finished above .500.  This year, the Cowboys play: @Tulsa, @Texas A&M, @Texas, @Missouri,@Texas Tech, plus Oklahoma, who has just owned them as of late, and Arizona in the non-conference. That is just too difficult a schedule for OSU to come close to its 11 wins last year, especially with a defense that only returns 6 starters that underwhelmed in just about every game in 2010.  Play the Pokies UNDER 8.5 as they should get to a max of 8 wins.

LSU Under 9.5
Another team that was filled with smoke and mirrors in 2010.  LSU did win 11 games last year (10 in the Regular Season), but if we go game by game, the Tigers could of easily won 6 or 7.  They needed a goal-line stand to beat UNC, a late punt return by Patrick Peterson (their do-everything special teams guy + best defensive player who’s now in the NFL) to beat WVU, two goal line runs to beat Tennessee, a fake FG to beat Florida, and a 20 point 4th quarter effort to take care of Ole Miss.  So again, this team was very lucky to win as many games as they did.  Add in a MUCH harder schedule in 2011, vs. Oregon, @Miss State, @WVU, @Tenn, @Alabama, @Ole Miss, plus Arkansas, Florida and Auburn and it seems highly unlikely LSU will come close to repeat its 2010 success.  Take LSU UNDER 9.5 as the Tigers could finish 3rd or 4th in the SEC West.


2011 Winter Updates

February 13, 2011

Haven’t updated in a couple months, wanted to give everyone a heads-up on the new features available with the software.

 

Deletion of Completed Bets
You now have the ability to delete completed bets. If you’ve entered in the wrong wager amount or selected the wrong team by accident, this allows you to erase that bet. To Delete, simply go to the View My Bets report, select the bet you wish to delete and click the Delete Selected Bets button. This will erase that bet from your record as well as your permanent bankroll.

Multi-Sport Parlays
Under the Make Picks section, you will see a new sport listed as All. This will allow you to see every game that’s being played on a specific day, regardless of sport, thus allowing you to make Multi-sport Parlays.

In the near future we hope to be releasing a mobile app of the software, making it easier for you to track your bets on the go, as well as some other reports and additional features.

Like always, if you have specific requests on features you’d like added to the software, please do not hesitate to contact us.


What Does Regulation of Online Gaming Actually Mean?

August 18, 2010

Just last week, a spokesperson for the Safe & Secure Gaming Initiative went on C-SPAN to discuss the legislation that was just passed by the House Financial Services Committee to legalize and regulate online poker, along with other casino games. Sports betting is not  included on this list, by the way (which irritates me and will be the focus of my next post).  There were many callers who voiced their concerns about gamblers and non-gamblers alike getting taxed by Big Brother.

To be clear, if and when the bill gets passed to regulate online poker and online casino games, there is no tax to the actual player or any citizen for playing the games. The operators (companies that own the gambling website) have to pay a tax.

The only tax the actual player has to pay would be on their winnings (which players already do). So this isn’t a ploy for the government to make more money off the gambler- but a way for states and the country to help erase its deficits.

Chris


Summer Follow Up & New Features

August 11, 2010

Hey guys,

Sorry haven’t been around lately.  Will be trying to post an update once a week moving forward. Just a few words about the TracktheBet.com software.

We just released Facebook Connect which is pretty cool. Users now have the ability to post each of their tracked picks as their Facebook status instantly after making the pick in the interface. After the games are completed, users can then publish whether they Won, Lost or Pushed a bet. Might be a nice bragging tool to all your friends who say you stink at sports betting :)

We will also be releasing a new report early next month (just in time for football). I don’t want to give it away just yet, but it has something to do with your Bets after they are made. That’s it- can’t give up any more than that. I guess you’ll just have to check it out.. and I’ll be sure to write another post when the report is created.

I’m also working with sports handicappers in different ways. The well-known Marc Lawrence has been gracious enough to put a page up on his website about Track the Bet and the software will also be featured elsewhere (but I have to wait until it releases before I go into details)- but it’s pretty cool. I’m also working with other handicappers (who will be named after the deals are complete) regarding an affiliate program, which I will also give more info about when the time is right.

In other news, we have been experiencing some issues grading RL MLB bets. The issue is known and my guys are working diligently to fix the issue and hope to have it resolved shortly. And again, I apologize for any inconvenience the grading error has caused you.

Until next time…

Chris

Founder of TracktheBet.com


Six Reasons to Track Your Sports Bets

May 12, 2010

Bet tracking software has finally sprung up online over the past couple of years.  Back in the day, players used good old fashioned pencil and paper to track their games; Wins on the left, Losses on the right and a tally to keep track of how much you were up or down.  Then came Excel and players took their tracking to the next level, using equations and algorithms to update their Profit and Overall Record. The bettor might have used columns to separate Teams, Bet Placed, Amount Risked and Profit.

Nowadays sports bettors have applications and software to assist with their sports bets and most don’t take advantage. Stock brokers have feeds and piles of data that allow them to choose the right stocks. Consumers log in at banking websites and receive statements based on spending. What’s the difference between those users and a sports bettor trying to gain an edge?  All three are managing money, but for some reason, analyzing sports wagers seems to be a daunting task or a waste of time in the minds of some bettors.

Now, we still may be years away from having online gambling legalized and regulated, but players should still understand where their money is going and how it’s being invested.  Below I have highlighted six reasons why tracking your sports bets can be beneficial to you and to your bankroll.

1. Less time updating and verifying records

This one is pretty simple. The more time you fiddle with your Excel sheet or add up your profits with a calculator, the less time you have to analyze games. Most online tracking software auto-grade each game once it’s completed, so updating your record is now as easy as logging in and viewing updated stats.

2. Pinpoint misconceptions in gaming arsenal

Ever had a football weekend when you went 7-3, but ended up losing money?  Don’t worry; it’s happened to most sports bettors at one point or another. With a tracking system, you can analyze Straight bets compared to other types of high risk, high reward bets such as Parlays, Teasers and Futures.  Sure, every once in while you might get lucky and hit that five-team parlay, but are those wagers really paying off and increasing your ROI in the long run?  Stay on top of the numbers and understand what percentage of bets are Straight wagers verse other, perhaps, more enticing types of wagers.

3. Document money management habits

Having a strong handle on your money management skills is crucial in defeating the books year in and year out. Just like Parlay and Teasers bets can destroy your bankroll, going overboard on the ‘Lock of the Year’ wager is just as bad. Looking at past wagers and identifying places where you can improve as a sports gambler is very important and can have a serious impact on your long term profits.

4. Detailed bankroll and account balances

Make sure you have a running overall balance that’s updated after each night of betting.  What’s your overall Net Profit or Net Loss? How much are you paying in juice? How much are you betting per game? You should know these answers off the top of your head.  Having an automated system updating those metrics in real-time can be a time saver and allow you to focus on other aspects of your betting portfolio.

5. Identify irregular betting patterns

There are types of bets that, over the long run, are detrimental to your overall bankroll.  But what about chasing games after a not-so-hot day? While those bets may be few and far between, I’m guessing they still exist.  Isolating those patterns and understanding why you bet certain games or on certain teams, can go a long way in determining the kind of sports bettor you are and will become in the future.

6. Manage performance

Looking at overall stats, including Record, Profit, ROI and Bankroll should play an important part of your bet routine and should be looked at often.  If certain stats are more important to you than others, highlight those and take notice if those numbers start to shift in one direction or the other.

Overall, make sure to analyze as much data as you can either on your own, or with the help of a bet tracking software.  Analyzing data points will give you an understanding of what type of sports bettor you are, and can only help you in the long term.

Figure out your tendencies: Are you a dog or favorite bettor?  Do you prefer home teams or away? Any advantage you can muster is a significant one and already puts you in the upper echelon of sports bettors, even before a bet is placed.


TracktheBet.com In the News

April 7, 2010

Since our launch on March 30, TracktheBet.com has already gotten a lot of solid press from such outlets as Thrillist, UrbanDaddy and KillerStartups.com.  If you missed those articles, check them out below.

Thrillist

http://www.thrillist.com/nation/track-bet

UrbanDaddy

http://www.urbandaddy.com/dc/gear/9429/Track_the_Bet_Crunching_the_Numbers_on_Your_Bets_DC_DC_Website

KillerStartups.com

http://www.killerstartups.com/Web-App-Tools/trackthebet-com-for-people-who-like-to-bet-on-sports


Less Updating, More Analyzing; TracktheBet.com Goes Live to Help Sports Bettors Manage More Efficiently

March 29, 2010

TracktheBet.comCHICAGO, March 30, 2010 —  TracktheBet.com, a sports betting analytics company, today unveiled its 1.0 version to the general public after spending the past three months in private beta.  The software enables users to more efficiently and effectively manage their sports bets with multiple reports and alerts.

“With this release, TracktheBet.com becomes the first and only sports betting analytics company in the United States. Users now have the ability to record and analyze their sports wagers like never before. Overall Record, Total Profit and ROI are just a few of the metrics available with a TracktheBet subscription,” says Chris Copeland, CEO of TracktheBet.com.

TracktheBet.com is designed to help sports bettors gain invaluable insight into the bets they make on a day to day basis. Users can view their sports bets by:

  • Bet Type (Straight Wager, Parlay, Teaser)
  • Bet Line (Spread, Total, Moneyline)
  • Bet Category (Home Favorite, Road Favorite, Home Underdog, Road Underdog)
  • Conference
  • Division
  • Team

“By breaking down the wagers, users can now understand which bets they excel at, and which types of bets are costing them money,” explained Copeland. “Along with bet tracking capabilities, users can receive customized, daily e-mail alerts and Saved reports to help stay on top of their plays and monitor their money management. The proprietary software gives each user specific detail into his or her betting arsenal that was never before available to anyone but the Sportsbooks.”

TracktheBet.com offers two subscriptions; Comped (Free), which allows users to manage 20 bets per month, and Pro ($9.95/month), which allows users to track unlimited bets, as well as gain access to Saved Reports and daily Alerts.

To learn more about TracktheBet, visit www.trackthebet.com.

About TracktheBet

TracktheBet.com is a sports betting analytics company that allows users to manage their sports bets with different reports, graphs and alerts. Using this software, sports bettors can become more aware of their betting and money management habits.

For more information, please contact us at info@trackthebet.com

www.TracktheBet.com


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